The Judicial Branch’s Future After the 2026 Midterm Election
The results of the 2026 midterm election, which are still coming in, are clear and decisive.
Democrats have won control of the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate – by overwhelming and convincing margins. After the counting is finished, Democrats are likely to have around 250 seats in the House, and at least 55 seats in the Senate.
The last time a political party had such a dominant showing was in the 2008 election, after which Democrats controlled 257 House seats and 59 Senate seats.
Following his election in 2008, former President Barack Obama famously said, “Elections have consequences.” That was true then. It is true now.
It will take years for the full ramifications of the 2026 midterms to be realized, though we’re likely to see a far-left legislative agenda advanced when the 120th U.S. Congress convenes on January 3, 2027.
For many Christians and conservatives, the election’s consequences for the U.S. judicial branch are top of mind.
When it comes to the U.S. Supreme Court, Justices Clarence Thomas, 78, and Samuel Alito, 76, are approaching the age when retirement speculations begin to swirl.
Earlier this year, however, Justice Alito dismissed such speculations as unfounded rumors.
“Obviously I’m here for another term,” Alito told The Wall Street Journal.
He said rumors over his retirement aren’t fun to hear: “It’s not pleasant, in the sense that it’s a reminder of mortality. It’s like, what are those vultures doing up there? They are flying around. But it goes with life tenure.”
Clarence Thomas, who recently became our nation’s second longest-serving Supreme Court justice, hasn’t directly address his retirement plans. Though he has joked with media outlets who frequently criticize his thoughtful decisions, saying, “I will absolutely leave the Court when I do my job as poorly as you do yours.”
Given Thomas and Alito’s rock-solid track record of interpreting the Constitution as written, protecting Americans’ God-given liberties and upholding the rule of law, there is no guarantee any future replacement would be as reliable of a voice and vote as the two conservative stalwarts.
The Daily Citizen wishes Justices Thomas and Alito, who are both remarkable people and phenomenal justices, many more happy years on the high Court.
At the same time, conservative judicial analysts have suggested that replacing them any time in the next few years with a reliably conservative nominee will be next to impossible, since it is very unlikely a Democrat-controlled Senate will confirm a solid choice. Any nominee would need 50 votes (with Vice President JD Vance breaking the tie) to be confirmed.
Ed Whelan, a senior fellow at the Ethics & Public Policy Center, contended the same is true for U.S. circuit court and district court judges.
“Massive Democrat takeover of the Senate means Trump will not be able to appoint any justices or judges during his last two years in office (absent one-sided deal in favor of Dems),” Whelan wrote.
He added that it is unlikely Republicans will regain control of the Senate in either the 2028 or 2030 elections, meaning it may not be until after the 2032 presidential election that conservative justices and judges can be confirmed.
“If a Republican is elected president in 2028, that president will not be able to appoint any justices or judges until Republicans regain the Senate. Given the deep hole, that might not happen until 2033,” he said.
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis agreed.
“Chance of confirming a worthy successor to Justice Thomas and/or Alito during President Trump’s term: Zero,” DeSantis wrote. “Chance of confirming a worthy successor during a hypothetical GOP admin 2029-2033: probably zero (GOP won’t be able to recapture enough seats in 28).”
In the meantime, the Republican-controlled Senate has roughly two months to confirm judges for current judicial vacancies. The president has nominated four circuit court judges and 18 district court judges who have yet to be confirmed.
Senate Judiciary Chair Chuck Grassley is readying the committee to approve as many of Trump’s remaining nominees as possible.
“I expect every judicial nominee who has been nominated to date to be confirmed,” Rob Luther, a George Mason University law professor, told Reuters.
In Trump’s second term, the Senate has confirmed 56 new, life-tenured judges to our nation’s courts, adding to the 234 judicial nominees the president selected in his first term.
How many more can be confirmed before January 3, 2027, remains to be seen. But what isn’t up for debate is that following the 2026 midterms, the confirmation of good, conservative, constitutionalist judges to our nation’s courts will likely grind to a halt for the foreseeable future.
Related articles and resources:
Clarence Thomas: I Can Be Black and Conservative
Justice Samuel Alito: I’m Not Retiring
Clarence Thomas: There are Only Two, Unchangeable Sexes
Clarence Thomas Becomes Nation’s Second Longest-Serving Supreme Court Justice
Justice Thomas Warns Progressivism Opposes America’s Founding Principles
Trump Victory Likely Cements Conservative Supreme Court for Decades to Come
Justice Alito Says Nation Must Return to a ‘Place of Godliness.’ He’s Exactly Right.
Celebrating Clarence Thomas’ Remarkable 32 Years on the U.S. Supreme Court
Justice Clarence Thomas Spotted Laying Wreaths at Arlington Cemetery to Honor our Military
Photo from Getty Images.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Zachary Mettler is a writer/analyst for Daily Citizen at Focus on the Family. In his role, he writes about current political issues, U.S. history, political philosophy, and culture. Mettler earned his Bachelor’s degree from William Jessup University and is an alumnus of the Young Leaders Program at The Heritage Foundation. In addition to Daily Citizen, his written pieces have appeared in the Daily Wire, the Washington Times, the Washington Examiner, Newsweek, Townhall, the Daily Signal, the Christian Post, Charisma News and other outlets.
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